There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Global Investor and educator focused on strategies to build wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

A key segment of the German yield curve has normalized as traders bet the European Central Bank will need to accelerate the pace of interest-rate cuts amid growing concern the region’s economic ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

The steepening yield curve in 2025 signals a potential new market cycle, not an imminent recession, defying traditional economic models. Small cap earnings growth is projected at 19% versus 12% for ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

The most awaited change in the bond market’s favorite indicator is finally here: the Treasury yield curve has steepened owing to a drop in short-term yields and an increase in intermediate- and ...